Deal inspection is not deal due diligence in mergers and acquisitions, which shares the word and nothing else, and it has nothing to do with the physical inspection of property or equipment. In the vocabulary of sales forecasting, pipeline coverage quality works at the pipeline level, asking whether there is enough and where it came from; deal inspection works at the deal level, asking whether this one is real and how you would know; forecast survivability works at the number level, asking whether the total still holds when a real deal moves anyway. Deal inspection is the input to forecast survivability.
What does deal inspection test?
Six lines. Each one takes a name and a date, or the word “unknown.” No adjectives in an answer.
- Signature. Who signs, who told you that, and when.
- Money. Where the budget comes from, whether it is approved, by whom, and on what date they said so.
- Date. What event on the customer’s calendar produces it.
- Alternative. What the customer does today instead, and what that costs them.
- Dependency. What has to be true on the customer’s side that is outside your control, and who verified it.
- Behavior. What the customer did since last week, not what they said.
What does a deal inspection look like on one real opportunity?
Take a deal sitting in commit at the same stage as every other committed deal that quarter, and run the six lines.
- Signature: the operations director, confirmed on a call two weeks ago. Named and dated.
- Money: “budget is approved”, but nobody can say who approved it or when. Unknown.
- Date: the seller’s end-of-quarter target, not an event on the customer’s calendar. Unknown.
- Alternative: the customer’s current supplier agreement renews in ninety days, and the customer said so on a named call. Named and dated.
- Dependency: the customer’s IT team has to approve the integration, and nobody on the selling side has spoken to them. Unknown.
- Behavior: the customer returned the site survey last Tuesday. Named and dated.
Three unknowns. By the count, this deal is not a commit. It is a project with three owners to assign this week, even though its stage and its percentage are identical to deals that passed every line.
A deal that fails inspection while also carrying more than 40 percent of a quarter is a compounded risk. Single-deal exposure shows that concentration alone fails to close about four times out of five.